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Post by austinace on Mar 17, 2024 20:34:27 GMT -6
More details on Resume Comparison of the teams. Quinnipiac message board is here. Haslametrics scouting report on Quinnipiac. FloHoops link here. Direct link to subscribe/join. They charge $29.95 for the month (or $150 for the year). First two rounds on FloHoops and last two rounds on ESPN2. CP article: The Purple Aces are headed to the postseason. Here's who else made the CBI fieldCovers.com oddsThey are led by MAAC Player of the Year 6'4" Graduate student Matt Balanc who is averaging 18.2 ppg. 6'7" sophomore Amarri Tice and 6'8" senior Paul Otieno average seven rpg and double digits (13.2 and 10.9 ppg respectively). 6'1" Gr. student Savion Lewis averages 8.2 ppg and 7.4 apg and about a 2.5 assist to turnover ratio. 6'7" Fr. Rihards Vavers (8.1 ppg), 6'7" Jr. Alexis Reyes (7.8 ppg), 6'0" Jr. Doug Young (6.1 ppg) and 6'9" 235 lbs R-Sr Richie Springs (3.9 ppg) all see significant minutes as well. Their top eight players all shoot at least 33% from 3. However, Otieno and their PG Lewis take very few 3's (making only 2 and 7 all season). However, Lewis has make 7-17 for 41%. But of their volume 3 pt shooters, Matt Balanc has made 85 at a 36% clip and Vavers and Reyes 36 and 35 respectively at 38.7% and 34%. Young has made 27 as well at a 34.2% clip. So, they have many 3-point shooters but I would likely back off Otieno defensively and Lewis some as he only averages a 3-point shot take every other game. All of their wins have been over Quad 3 or Quad 4 teams with only one game each against a Quad 1 or Quad 2 team. We only had one Quad 2 win (probably the Bradley win). Game Notes |
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Post by Ace78 on Mar 17, 2024 21:29:52 GMT -6
Austin Ace, your "work in progress" is already highly detailed .. as usual! I really enjoy seeing your scouting reports. Thanks!!
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Post by ATP on Mar 17, 2024 21:38:14 GMT -6
I watched a few MAAC games out of sheer boredom this winter, or parts of enough of them ... that conference is a slower version of the Horizon League and most of its traditions are against an extremely local set of opponents. Which isn't to say they can't get hot from the arc and put up enough of a game to beat you. If UE is at strength, they can win this game by 5 or 10 points.
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Post by austinace on Mar 17, 2024 22:27:59 GMT -6
This is on the general CBI thread as well. If we survive our first-round matchup with Quinnipiac, we will likely play Seattle in the second round. | Seed | NET | Team | Overall | Conf/Record/Place | Haslametric prediction | | 1 | 110 | High Point | 25-8 | Big South, 13-3, 1st | Loss 71.69 - 79.55
| | 2 | 121 | UC San Diego | 19-11 | Big West, 7-8, 2nd | Loss 67.98 - 74.82
| | 3 | 119 | Seattle | 19-14 | WAC, 11-9, T-4th | Loss 64.57 - 72.04
| | 4 | 148 | Arkansas State | 18-16 | Sun Belt, 11-7, 4th | Loss 70.64 - 78.45
| | 5 | 144 | Montana | 12-6 | Big Sky, 23-11, 5th | Loss 69.97 - 75.24
| | 6 | 160 | Quinnipiac | 24-9 | MAAC, 15-5, 1st | Loss 72.05 - 76.57
| | 7 | 161 | Fairfield
| 22-12 | MAAC, 14-6, 2nd | Loss 70.77 - 74.84
| | 8 | 186 | Northern Colorado | 17-13 | Big Sky, 12-6, 2nd | Loss 73.51 - 75.88
| | 9 | 196 | Cleveland State
| 20-14 | Horizon, 11-9, T-7th | Loss 71.19 72.90
| | 10 | 182 | Little Rock
| 21-12 | OVC, 14-4, T-1st | Loss 70.20 - 75.09
| | 11 | 202 | Evansville | 16-17 | MVC, 6-14, 10th | - | | 12 | 281 | Presbyterian
| 14-18 | Big South, 6-10, T-5th | Win 71.83 - 70.37
| | 13 | 308 | Bethune-Cookman | 15-16 | SWAC, 11-7, T-5th | Win 72.86 - 66.70 | | 14 | 305 | Delaware State | 15-18 | MEAC, 6-8, 6th | Win 68.93 - 65.57
| | 15 | 296 | Chicago State | 12-18 | Independent | Win 69.52 - 65.31
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More details on Resume Comparison of the teams. Note: If you don't recognize the team icons on the Resume Comparison link, you can use the URL at the top to help. CBI Home page here. Conferences rated by average NET ratings here. |
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Post by aceslfer on Mar 19, 2024 8:05:43 GMT -6
Aces will need to put up 90 points to win this game, highly unlikely.
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Post by austinace on Mar 19, 2024 8:37:50 GMT -6
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Post by austinace on Mar 19, 2024 9:47:06 GMT -6
For those that want to scout Quinnipiac, here is the full game of their MAAC championship game with St. Peter's: www.youtube.com/watch?v=ze15xbu561cIf you want to get a glimpse of the challenge for us against a player like Balanc, watch his shot around the 1:40 mark with 12 seconds left to tie it before St. Peter's wins it on a last second play under the basket. Will be interesting to see who we start on him as he is 6'4", super aggressive and physical and experience. Gage would likely be too short, but my guess is he will get the call out of the gate; Antonio likely has their point guard. I'm guessing it would be a combination of guys like Kenny, Gage, Cam, Chuck and Tanner and even Antonio on switches. Looks like Quinnipiac's starting five goes 6'8", 6'7", 6'7", 6'4" and 6'1". That seems to imply that Balanc would be the shooting guard's responsibility (hence Gage). |
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Post by ATP on Mar 19, 2024 10:08:20 GMT -6
I guess I am rooting for Chicago State just a little, since their program was really headed for disaster. I wonder if they are ever going to join a conference. Seems like the Horizon or Summit would be an easy fit for them. They actually aren't a terrible team this year.
High Point was recently coached into D-1 transition by Tubby Smith. He was really an underrated coach. He retired a couple of years ago.
Aces only need to play a touch better than they have to advance in this thing. Cleveland State would be my darkhorse to win this tournament.
It is also nice to see B-C and Del State get a chance to play some more ball. We usually mock the SWAC and MEAC, but they are really up against the wall. They play almost all their first 13 games on the road.
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Post by ATP on Mar 19, 2024 10:20:35 GMT -6
That Haslametrics report might suggest the Quinn's will shoot a lot of 3's, and the Aces are reasonably lame defending that shot. Their rebounding isn't great either, which is always nice to hear.
I get a feeling that CBIII is going to enjoy this game quite a bit.
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Post by harrison88 on Mar 19, 2024 16:26:49 GMT -6
I guess I am rooting for Chicago State just a little, since their program was really headed for disaster. I wonder if they are ever going to join a conference. Seems like the Horizon or Summit would be an easy fit for them. They actually aren't a terrible team this year. High Point was recently coached into D-1 transition by Tubby Smith. He was really an underrated coach. He retired a couple of years ago. Aces only need to play a touch better than they have to advance in this thing. Cleveland State would be my darkhorse to win this tournament. It is also nice to see B-C and Del State get a chance to play some more ball. We usually mock the SWAC and MEAC, but they are really up against the wall. They play almost all their first 13 games on the road. Chicago State has joined the Northeast Conference for the 2024-25 year. I would hate to see Chicago State's travel budget. |
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Post by ATP on Mar 19, 2024 16:33:36 GMT -6
I guess I am rooting for Chicago State just a little, since their program was really headed for disaster. I wonder if they are ever going to join a conference. Seems like the Horizon or Summit would be an easy fit for them. They actually aren't a terrible team this year. High Point was recently coached into D-1 transition by Tubby Smith. He was really an underrated coach. He retired a couple of years ago. Aces only need to play a touch better than they have to advance in this thing. Cleveland State would be my darkhorse to win this tournament. It is also nice to see B-C and Del State get a chance to play some more ball. We usually mock the SWAC and MEAC, but they are really up against the wall. They play almost all their first 13 games on the road. Chicago State has joined the Northeast Conference for the 2024-25 year. I would hate to see Chicago State's travel budget. Thanks. I was not aware of that. A somewhat bizarre decision. I know they were in the WAC for about 10 years. Before that, some league that included New Jersey Tech and Utah Valley, who are natural rivals, as I've learned. Talk about a duck out of water. |
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Post by harrison88 on Mar 19, 2024 17:47:20 GMT -6
Chicago State has joined the Northeast Conference for the 2024-25 year. I would hate to see Chicago State's travel budget. Thanks. I was not aware of that. A somewhat bizarre decision. I know they were in the WAC for about 10 years. Before that, some league that included New Jersey Tech and Utah Valley, who are natural rivals, as I've learned. Talk about a duck out of water. I think the conference that Chicago State was in with New Jersey Tech was called the Great West Conference lol. I think the reason that Chicago State was in the WAC was that the WAC had plans to expand in the Midwest so along with Chicago State Missouri-Kansas City joined the WAC for awhile. |
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Post by ATP on Mar 19, 2024 17:55:40 GMT -6
Thanks. I was not aware of that. A somewhat bizarre decision. I know they were in the WAC for about 10 years. Before that, some league that included New Jersey Tech and Utah Valley, who are natural rivals, as I've learned. Talk about a duck out of water. I think the conference that Chicago State was in with New Jersey Tech was called the Great West Conference lol. I think the reason that Chicago State was in the WAC was that the WAC had plans to expand in the Midwest so along with Chicago State Missouri-Kansas City joined the WAC for awhile. The Great West, it was. Not much there to work with, sadly. The Dakota teams were members. It sort of evolved into the Summit, which was kinda-sorta the Mid-Con in one form or another before the Mid-Con kinda-sorta became the Horizon. I still think Chi State belongs in the Horizon. It can't be they'd prefer to play Central Connecticut. |
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Post by harrison88 on Mar 19, 2024 18:16:22 GMT -6
I think the conference that Chicago State was in with New Jersey Tech was called the Great West Conference lol. I think the reason that Chicago State was in the WAC was that the WAC had plans to expand in the Midwest so along with Chicago State Missouri-Kansas City joined the WAC for awhile. The Great West, it was. Not much there to work with, sadly. The Dakota teams were members. It sort of evolved into the Summit, which was kinda-sorta the Mid-Con in one form or another before the Mid-Con kinda-sorta became the Horizon. I still think Chi State belongs in the Horizon. It can't be they'd prefer to play Central Connecticut. Also I forgot Chicago State was in the East Coast Conference before they joined the Mid-Continent aka Summit League. I do not think the Horizon League was interested in Chicago State as long as Valparaiso and Illinois-Chicago was in the Horizon League. But since Valparaiso and Illinois-Chicago are in the MVC the Horizon League may relook at Chicago State. The one thing that may hurt Chicago State is that Chicago State does not have a baseball team and the Horizon League needs baseball teams. I heard that Chicago was looking at joining the OVC as few years ago. |
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Post by ATP on Mar 19, 2024 18:45:47 GMT -6
The Great West, it was. Not much there to work with, sadly. The Dakota teams were members. It sort of evolved into the Summit, which was kinda-sorta the Mid-Con in one form or another before the Mid-Con kinda-sorta became the Horizon. I still think Chi State belongs in the Horizon. It can't be they'd prefer to play Central Connecticut. Also I forgot Chicago State was in the East Coast Conference before they joined the Mid-Continent aka Summit League. I do not think the Horizon League was interested in Chicago State as long as Valparaiso and Illinois-Chicago was in the Horizon League. But since Valparaiso and Illinois-Chicago are in the MVC the Horizon League may relook at Chicago State. The one thing that may hurt Chicago State is that Chicago State does not have a baseball team and the Horizon League needs baseball teams. I heard that Chicago was looking at joining the OVC as few years ago. Hell, every sport they had was bankrupt at one time. I figured they'd drop sports, but they didn't. They'd be better off in D-2, but there's no D-2 that matters up that way. |
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